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Sports by the Numbers

Technical Appendix: Model Results for Entire 2014 Regular Season

Posted on December 31, 2014December 31, 2014 by Peter Lemieux

spread-model-results-2014-regular

Teams that gain a hundred yards more on average than their opponents win by an average margin of 6.6 points.  A team that averages one more sack than its opponents increases its margin of victory by 2.1 points.  The net value of a turnover is estimated to be just under five points.

 

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